Hello all,
I've had some money (Lets call it R1M) in fixed deposits that are now freed. I want to ideally purchase Satrix MSCI World & Emerging (I have my TFSA with all the local stuff to max the tax savings)
IDEALLY I want to buy the international ETF's when :-
- the Dollar/Rand is not at its current lowest AND / OR
- the ETFs might bottom out a bit more over the next few months (I disclaim my idealism )
My research indicates I might have to wait between 3 and 12 months for either or both of the above to occur.
Therefore, I'm considering a tactical plan :-
- buying a short term low transaction cost ETFs (e.g. Newfunds Govi which is offering smashing rates of 11.5%)
- selling the ETF when the above 1 or 2 conditions are met
- Buying the international ETFS
I know short buying/selling are shunned upon due to costs but (Rough calculations)
- Given the Newfunds Govi offering roughly R0.5 dividends and over 10% Returns
-- Interest Income over 6 months R47619.05 (R0.5 per unit) -- Income Tax of R 14 285.71(Close corp rates 30%)
-- Capital Gain of R45000 over 6 months (at 9%) -- CGTax off R10 080 (Close corp net eff rate of 22.4%)
-- minus total transaction fees of R500 (0.05% on R 1M selling after 6 months)
-- Profit R 67 753.33
Using similar rough calculations on a money market at 5.5% I should only get R19250.
Feedback requested:
1. Is my tactical plan really that nonsensical/risky?
2. I suspect that given the low The NF TRACI ETF will offer low returns given the current interest rates dive?
3. Are there any other options/suggestions?