The problem which every private investor faces is that there are more than 400 different companies listed on the JSE. How can you choose those shares which are likely to be winners? The old Wall Street adage goes, “Pick shares which are rising, in sectors which are rising and in markets which are rising”. Of […]
Author: PDSNET Progress data services

The Lonmin Opportunity
The sudden collapse of any share should always be of interest to the private investor because such a fall could represent a buying opportunity. Obviously, share prices do not collapse without a good reason, so it is important to begin by thoroughly examining the reason to establish whether it has merit and whether the fall […]

Picking Winners – Orion Minerals
One of the private investor’s biggest problems is selecting the right share. Out of the 400-odd shares listed on the JSE, how can you find those which will perform better – especially those which can offer a good capital gain? Obviously, there are many different methods of finding winning shares, but the purpose of this […]

The Rand’s Weakening Trend
In the middle of July, we published an article about the new weakening trend of the rand and urged you to consider buying rand-hedge shares. We also talked about the rand’s new weakening trend in the October Confidential Report and suggested that, if it fell through R13.60 to the US dollar, a downward trend was […]

Our Long 4 Life Mistake
On 29th May 2017 we published an article (“Long 4 Life”) in which we extolled the virtues of a new listing – Long 4 Life (L4L). The important characteristic of this share was that it was started and championed by the famous entrepreneur, Brian Joffe (of Bidvest fame). Using his name, Mr Joffe raised R2,3 […]

Premfish Plays the PE Game
One of the great advantages of listing on the JSE (or any market) is that it re-rates a company’s shares from their pre-listing level as a private company (which is usually between 3 and 5 times their most recent after-tax earnings). Most listed companies can look to trade on the JSE at somewhere between 10 […]

Black Monday Anniversary
Today (19th October 2017) is the thirtieth anniversary of “Black Monday” – the day on which the Dow Jones industrial index fell 23% in a single day – its single largest one-day fall in history. This massive fall dwarfed even the previous Black Monday which was 28th October 1929 – which signaled the start of […]

Stadio’s Shooting Star
The ancient Japanese charting method known as “candlestick charting” in the West predates Charles Dow (the “father” of technical analysis) by several centuries. It contains some very simple and useful wisdoms which private investors would be well-advised to follow. The recent listing of Stadio on the JSE gives an excellent example of what the Japanese […]

Vodacom
Vodacom is the largest supplier of cell phone connections in South Africa with 39 million local customers. It also has over 30 million customers outside South Africa. In the June 2017 quarter, the company added 2,5 million new customers – 2,3 million of them in South Africa. Vodacom is owned about 65% by Vodaphone. By […]

The Confidential Report October 2017
Political Political polls are hardly solid evidence, but the May 2017 Ipsos poll is at least interesting. It showed that ANC support had fallen to 47% from the 54% that it won in the 2016 local government elections. Clearly, much now depends on who the party selects as its next leader at its December leadership […]