Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates     

  1. Yesterday
  2. ASHGEQ is only 7% emerging markets. The other 93% is basically the same index as STXWDM anyway. What makes the ASHGEQ so attractive here is that the 7% emerging markets exposure is only the best emerging market companies in the world, so in addition to the 93% that is the same as STXWDM, you're getting a 7% of carefully chosen top performers as well, so out-performance is expected. I think most on this site, as well as Simon Brown and Kristia van Heerden from JustOneLap, prefer ASHGEQ to STXWDM. In fact, Simon and Kristia call ASHGEQ the "One ETF to rule them all" and mention on their website that if they had to put all their money into just one ETF, it would be ASHGEQ. Regarding local ETFs, there are two reasons why some local exposure is important: 1) Most importantly, South Africa has higher inflation than the developed markets. This means higher growth. If a can of beans at Checkers costs R100 now and we have 6% inflation, next year, the can of beans costs R106, and the profit that Checkers makes goes up by 6%, so Checkers grows by 6%. Now, in a country with no inflation (Europe) or 1% inflation (US), that means a company similar to Checkers only grows by 1% because the price of their sales only increases by 1%. Over ANY 10 year period in history, South African market growth has been higher than the developed markets indices, simply because we have higher inflation. As long as the Reserve bank continues their inflation targeting policy at 4-6%, South Africa market growth is expected to be higher than foreign markets. Higher inflation = higher growth. For the same reason, that's why over the long term, emerging markets (which have higher inflation rates) always outperform developed markets. Don't be overly seduced by the high returns of the US in the past two or three years - there are short-term factors at play too - but as I have mentioned, choose any 10 year period in history, and South African growth is higher than the developed markets. 2) South African share prices and growth don't depend on the value of the Rand. If the Rand weakens, your local shares stay the same and your foreign shares make money from the exchange rate. However, if the Rand strengthens, you lose on Foreign shares, but not on local shares. Hence, local shares decrease your downside risk if the Rand strengthens. In other words, local shares reduce your currency exposure risk. With regards to local ETFs, it's anyone's guess which ones will do best. Vanilla ETFs such as STX40 have probably been the ETF of choice up till now, but it has extreme exposure risk due to the heavy weighting of a few companies at the top of its constituent list. Smart Beta's like Coreshare's SMART just haven't lived up to their promises. And then globally, the momentum factor is consistently being shown to perform better than other ETF methodologies, so NFEMOM is probably not a bad choice. CTOP50 is an attempt at doing a top 50 without the concentration risk, which is probably also not a bad idea either. But I think any combination of STX40/CTOP50 and NFEMOM is good.
  3. First off, thanks for the feedback. Thought it best to rather ask for advice before jumping in blindly. Reason for wanting to switch from ASHGEQ to STXWDM was for the bigger exposure to the US (probably a risk I know), then just supplementing with a bit more exposure in emerging markets. All in all, I think I'll stick with my existing portfolio, valid points were made. I'll have to do a reshuffle on some of the percentages though, would love some advice on the local side of things, as you can see my trust in SA just isn't there at the moment.
  4. A few things to think about: 1) Why do you want to sell ASHGEQ in favour of STXWDM? A quick graph comparing the two may suggest that STXWDM is outperforming ASHGEQ, but this is not the case, since ASHGEQ pays dividends, but STXWDM does not. Despite the higher TER for ASHGEQ, the graph looks different once you plot the total return for both. In the graph below (since the inception of STXWDM), the dark blue line shows ASHGEQ before dividends. the light blue line is STXWDM total return, and the grey line is ASHGEQ total return (the return once dividends are included). The longer the time period, the better ASHGEQ has been doing compared to STXWDM (the grey line rather than the dark blue should be considered for the full picture). (Click on the graph to zoom) 2) ETF5IT has had an amazing run in the past year. But just about 40% of it (39.33% to be precise) is made up of just two companies - Microsoft and Apple. Since a large chunk of this ETF's performance has been due to good annual returns of these companies for this year, the annual returns next year may look different, and then the ETF may perform very differently. On the other hand, SYG4IR consists of many smaller, newer, developing companies with (possibly) more potential for long term growth. Also, in STXNDQ, exposure to Microsoft and Apple is less at only 24%, giving a more well-rounded ETF. But I get your point - the two smaller ETF's having only 5% of your portfolio each feels like they are not making any difference, so you want to combine them into one. I'm not convinced that ETF5IT will continue to do better than STXNDQ or than SYG4IR going forward, but I may be wrong. 3) Personally, I like the idea of going 20% with STXEMG. This ETF is one third China, and with emerging markets, the potential for (very) long term growth is massive. However, with this one, patience is the key. If you're planning to sell it in the next 15 years, you may as well just sell it now. This one is for the long haul, but has huge promise over the 15+ year period. Especially considering your new proposed portfolio has 70% in developed markets already, the 20% in STXEMG actually feels small. Interestingly enough, the ETFSA international portfolio product has 20% STXEMG in it. 4) I see you want to drop your local exposure from 25% to 10% by dropping NFEMOM to 10% and by selling CTOP50 and buying foreign ETFs with it. If this is the case, then why not put the extra 5% each into SYG4IR and STXNDQ, making these 10% each, rather than going 50% STXWDM? Also, I assume you have sufficient local exposure in other products (pension/RA) etc. to warrant the drop here? 5) Personally, I prefer your existing portfolio more than your new proposed one. However, if you do want to go only 10% local, if it were me, I'd do: ASHGEQ - 40% STXEMG - 20% GLPROP - 10% NFEMOM - 10% SYG4IR - 10% STXNDQ - 10% 6) Importantly, don't make the mistake of selling the 5% NFEMOM just so your portfolio gets to its new percentage allocation quicker. If you are going to drop the allocation to 10% , just hold on to what you have and don't buy more until it's just 10% of your portfolio. 7) P.S. Welcome to the forum!
  5. If it was profitable then yes, sell off and "reinvent" or keep the ones that you do not like/are duplicated and stop contributing to them. It helps if you theme your portfolio meaning: 80% offshore, 10% local, 10% property... or in your case 80% (50% developed markets, 20% emerging markets, 10% tech stocks), 10% local, 10% property. Get the "theme" right so you know what you want to do and then use the appropriate ETFs to do so.
  6. Hi all, new to all of this and would like some advice. Started filling up my TFSA and it looks like this at the moment. ASHGEQ - 40% STXEMG - 15% GLPROP - 10% CTOP50 - 10% NFEMOM - 15% SYG4IR - 5% STXNDQ - 5% I'm thinking about changing it to this: STXWDM - 50% STXEMG - 20% GLPROP - 10% NFEMOM - 10% ETF5IT - 10% Thoughts? Sell off ASHGEQ, CTOP50, SYG4IR and STXNDQ at a profit (covering the costs) and reinventing it.
  7. Last week
  8. I'm still not mentally prepared for what's about to happen in the crypto markets the next 12-18 months. wallets and exchanges are more accessible stablecoins & leverage have 10x'd info sources are more reliable crypto networks have earnings macro narrative is nuts
  9. Thanks for this @SlimArchi Sorry if this is a bit of a thread necro. Is there anybody out there that could explain the figures for tax liability with a practical example of say the following scenario in a tax year: I earn ZAR 1 million from my normal salary. (Number chosen just for ease of calculation, I wish I made that Further, I earn ZAR 800k from US domiciled etf dividends (from let's say SPYD,VOO,SPHD,etc) and another 200k from REITs, (thus together totaling another ZAR 1 million). (From what I understand and have seen, because the US has a tax treaty with SA, withholding tax is calculated at 15% by the US broker and withheld from the dividend payout to your brokerage account) Thanks
  10. Earlier
  11. Curious if this is good or bad, my Credit Cost Multiple is 2.41 (my credit score is 675, which is good, but a credit cost multiple of 2.41 feels bad?)
  12. Agreed. SYG4IR invests in companies like Tesla, that has never had a profitable year and constantly loses money, but is growing at an amazing rate due to massive investment in the company. It may be true that it is not sound to invest in companies that are making a loss, but the growth potential here is phenomenal, and if Tesla becomes profitable one day, it may become the world's No. 1 company. I guess as long as this type of ETF doesn't make up the bulk of one's portfolio, or unless you have discretionary funds that you are willing to expose to some risk, it's definitely worth having some, in my opinion.
  13. He's probably right but who cares - it's making me money
  14. So let's see: TFSA +28% ETF5IT (42%) ASHGEQ (55%) STXEMG (3%) The growth here was helped by timing the crash and dip earlier this year and time. Portfolio #1 +8% SYGWD (27%) SYG4IR (42%) STXCHN (31%) Portfolio was started after the crash, so gains are partly due to the recovery (maybe?) and the recent growth we've seen over the last week. Portfolio #2 +77% ETFRHO (95%) DCX10 (5%) Ah yes, portfolio 2. Otherwise known as my **** around portfolio. Growth is largely from past performance of ETFRHO and it's been stuck in the +70 range for a while. I reckon the party is over but scared of capital gains.
  15. So I'm decommissioning the offtopic.co.za site because I enjoy writing blogging software more than I do writing actual blog posts. BUT, I use that calculator a lot so if anybody is interested, I moved (and updated, read, mobile friendly) it over here: https://andrev.me/growth-calculator/ On a side note, if anybody wants a domain called offtopic.co.za let me know - cheap cheap
  16. Bandit

    Satrix China

    So far so good
  17. Yes, you can either phone the bank and ask them to take an debit order of X Rand each month (X being any amount you choose) or you can just EFT a higher amount.
  18. Wow. That is very reassuring. Question, I want to pay off the bond sooner than the actual time, my question is how does the logistics of that actually work? Can I just EFT them more money than what is needed, like right now with Rawson, my rent is R9k but I paid R10k every month just to get myself accustomed to higher prices so that extra R1k just sits with Rawson and earns some interest. Can I do the same with the bank, if my Bond Repayment is R10k can I just EFT R11k instead and they will know what to do with it or is this something you need to arrange with them? In essence, I want to pay extra into my bond every month.
  19. Once you've already got the bond, you're in a much better position to negotiate as it's much easier to move a bond than to get a new one. My Colleague and I approach the banks every five years to see if anyone's interested in our bond. Last year, my Colleague moved one of her properties that she has had for 5 years from a bank to SA Home Loans. They waived the admin fees, so the only fees my Colleague had to pay was the bond costs, and that they included in the bond. They dropped her interest rate by 2%, since she was above prime rate with the other bank.
  20. I probably should've now that you mention it, it's the first time I am buying so the agents said they have a business they work with (bond originator) and I figured let me give it a shot they came back with 6.95 to 7.05% and I figured, meh it's better than I expected so its good. In hindsight I probably should've tried myself first, but if I am being honest, the whole process is so confusing it was nice with everyone holding my hand along the way (Even if for a little premium) I think when I buy property number two (if life goes well), then I will try to do the bond negotiation thing myself and then SA homeloans, Ooba or Better Bond (they have good youtube ads)
  21. Have you tried SA Home Loans? It's their business and in my experience they will beat any quote (at least from everyone I've spoken to, including my own experience.) My wife and I have a joint home loan and we're now paying 6.75% and that's with her having her own business (not salaried).
  22. Mmmm, I can get 7.01% at (bank A) <- will name names when its done. Bank A is not my favorite. I am with Capitec so no options but to go with a different bank for the bond, but I am thinking maybe after 2 years I move to Bank B including my banking.
  23. Yes. FNB to Investec for a -0.5% lower rate. It's a slow process because of COVID and the deeds office shutting down every other day. Both banks have been ready to do the transfer for a while now. So, long story short: - some (all?) banks like FNB require you to give them advanced notice that you intend to settle the loan (3 months I think), so that's step one. - costs: It will be a repeat of the bond reg costs unless the attorney does it at a discount (so on a R1.5mil loan it's about R25-30k). These costs can be loaded onto the loan if you wish. - there is a cancellation fee at the current bank which is in the region of R5,000. For a better interest rate and/or bank and over long enough time it is worth it.
  24. Hello guys, Have any of you transferred your bond to a different bank yet? What was the process like? What are the costs involved?
  25. I have a lot of altcoins.....I have been using them to get more bitcoin. I got started on altcoins when bitcoin cash forked away from bitcoin, and I dumped those free tokens immediately and used the free bitcoin to play with altcoins. So I have not really spent any money on my altcoins, yet I have built up a lot over time. Often if an altcoin goes up significantly, i'll sell some of it to take profit, then use that profit to get into another altcoin I have been looking at. Eg: I got into LINK at around $1.80 in December, and dumped almost all of what I had at $8.60 just over a week ago. The profits from that has been moved into other coins... Bitcoin is pretty stable when you compare it to most altcoins, so when bitcoin moves up or down, a lot of the altcoins move with it, but in a bigger way. This means you can make a lot fast, and lose a lot fast. So while I think bitcoin is the future, I am not against using pumping altcoins to make myself more bitcoin. Currently my altcoin bags and the ones I think are good to check out are: BTC, ETH, ADA, BNB, CRO, LINK, XTZ, XLM, TRON, VET, ATOM, ONT, XEM, LEND, BAT, KNC, SNX, ZRX, REP, ALGO, ICON, HBAR, ENJ, REN, LRC, RLC, KAVA, BAND, MATIC, TOMO, MANA, WAX, ARK, BZX, POWR, BEAM, PNK, QSP, SWAP, AKRO, PAY I thought I would be fun to edit and add a screenshot of these coins prices so we can look back and smile or cry....
  26. I'm just warming this thread up for when the inevitable hits. @BitcoinZAR hope you have your safety belt on. Goes without saying (stocked up on BTC), but now it's time for the fun bits. I picked up some $TOMO beginning of the year, already an amazing return, but I am going to ride this baby out. (In 2017 I did not sell enough, not making that mistake again in this run) I mean this #DeFi narrative playing now - it's all hype, but it will be an apocalyptic pump, the sad part is people will lose a ton of money again like 2017, so my word of advise is, "don't buy the top, sell it" in other words, if you go into this run with no crypto, keep it that way otherwise you'll get burned, hard. However if you come into this run with bags... many opportunities taking shape now. My moon bags for this run are: $SC $TOMO $CVC $SYS $XRP $ETH $DGB $ZRX $REP $CELR
  27. I hope everyone has been stocking up on little bits of bitcoin over the last few months....I keep adding to my stash. The vibe I am getting is that the price might make some big moves soon....there has been a lot of interest in some of the new DeFi altcoins, and many of those and bitcoin have been going up in value.... I have a large bag of altcoins too, because many of them are a lot more volatile than bitcoin. They go up faster, and also go down faster...but if you are lucky and play your cards right, you can make some good returns, which means I get to add more to my bitcoin stash for the long term.
  1. Load more activity

  • Create New...